SUKINA Football analyses every 2026 World Cup match with a complex blend of statistical and mathematical modelling. Much as many well-known brands never publish their signature formula, the algorithm itself is our trade secret — yet we're completely transparent about how well it does: every prediction is checked against the real result on our public track record. Here's the high-level idea behind it.
Every team carries a strength rating that reflects its current level. After each match it adjusts by the result and the opponent's quality: beating a strong side earns more, losing to a weak one costs more. It keeps updating through the tournament.
From the strength gap between two teams, plus recent form and match context, the system estimates the likelihood of each scoreline and result. It combines multiple statistical and mathematical techniques — a proprietary recipe we keep private.
Home vs away performance is factored in; the 2026 World Cup is hosted by the USA, Canada and Mexico, so host nations playing at home get the corresponding adjustment.
These combine into three numbers — home / draw / away win probability — plus the most likely scoreline. Locked before kickoff and compared against the real result on the Track Record page.
Football is high-variance and upsets are common. A "65% win" means roughly two in three similar situations end in a win — not a certainty; the other third is what makes the game worth watching. We publish the full record — the calls the model got right, the too-close ones, and the ones it missed — so you can judge it yourself rather than take it on faith.
This site is a data-analytics tool providing probabilities and statistical context. We never provide betting advice, odds or tips, and guarantee no outcome. Content is for reference and entertainment only.