Top probability 44% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
No model lean: line-ball at 44% for Espanyol, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG); halves split by the measured La Liga share (1160 matches, 44% in the first half). League averages come from all 1160 of those matches; shot numbers are each side’s real 30-match averages.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Espanyol | WWDWL | 9 | 4 | +5 | 2.00 |
 Sevilla | WLLWW | 8 | 6 | +2 | 1.80 |
La Liga lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.
2-match sample| Shots (avg) | 12 | 10 |
| On target (avg) | 4.5 | 4 |
| Shot xG (avg) | 1.31 | 1.3 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sevilla | 2–1 | Espanyol | LALIGA |
| 2025-11-24 | Espanyol | 2–1 | Sevilla | LALIGA |
| 2025-01-25 | Sevilla | 1–1 | Espanyol | LALIGA |
| 2024-10-25 | Espanyol | 0–2 | Sevilla | LALIGA |
EspanyolSevillaAbsence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.
No model lean: line-ball at 44% for Espanyol, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Strength ratings 1450 v 1461 (ranked 18 and 15) — very close. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Espanyol 44%, draw 29%, Sevilla 27%. Last five in the league: Espanyol W-W-D-W-L (2.00 pts/game), Sevilla W-L-L-W-W (1.80).
Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.
Unlock with PROTop-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe 3×3 HT/FT grid is PRO content.
Unlock with PROCorner analysis is PRO content.
Unlock with PRONo model lean: line-ball at 44% for Espanyol, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
44%All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.