Top probability 37% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
No model lean: line-ball at 37% for Málaga, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG); halves split by the measured La Liga share (1160 matches, 44% in the first half). League averages come from all 1160 of those matches; shot numbers are each side’s real 30-match averages.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Málaga | LD | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0.50 |
 Levante | WWLLD | 6 | 7 | -1 | 1.40 |
Promoted sides have under five La Liga matches — rank comparisons are not yet meaningful. Shows automatically after a few matchweeks.
2-match sample| Shots (avg) | 9 | 7.5 |
| On target (avg) | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Shot xG (avg) | 1.06 | 0.8 |
No recent La Liga meetings.
MálagaLevanteAbsence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.
No model lean: line-ball at 37% for Málaga, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Strength ratings 1436 v 1509 (ranked 19 and 10) — a modest gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Málaga 37%, draw 29%, Levante 34%. Last five in the league: Málaga L-D (0.50 pts/game), Levante W-W-L-L-D (1.40).
Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.
Unlock with PROTop-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe 3×3 HT/FT grid is PRO content.
Unlock with PROCorner analysis is PRO content.
Unlock with PRONo model lean: line-ball at 37% for Málaga, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
37%All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.