Top probability 56% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
Pre-match, the model gave this outcome 20% (ranked 3 of 3).
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG); halves split by the measured Premier League share (1150 matches, 44% in the first half). League averages come from all 1150 of those matches; shot numbers are each side’s real 30-match averages.
Coventry City
Hull CityShots and corners are real averages over the last 1 Premier League matches; possession and pass accuracy come from this season's public stats only (1-match sample). Tags derive from that data. Formation and pressing have no reliable free source and are not shown.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | L | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0.00 |
| Hull City | W | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3.00 |
Promoted sides have under five Premier League matches — rank comparisons are not yet meaningful. Shows automatically after a few matchweeks.
1-match sample| Shots (avg) | 4 | 8 |
| On target (avg) | 1 | 4 |
| Possession | 36% | 29% |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 70% |
| Shot xG (avg) | 0.2 | 1.01 |
No recent Premier League meetings.
Coventry City
Hull City
The win-probability figure is an "if absent" scenario: the player's real output (xG+xA for attackers, xGA on pitch for defenders) is compared with the club's like-for-like cover, then probabilities are recomputed. It is an add-on scenario and never alters the locked forecast.
Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe 3×3 HT/FT grid is PRO content.
Unlock with PRO
The five-axis matchup is PRO content.
Unlock with PROThe model favours Coventry City with a 56% win probability, primarily due to home advantage and a higher overall rating.
56%All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.