Top probability 42% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
Pre-match, the model gave this outcome 32% (ranked 2 of 3).
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG); halves split by the measured Premier League share (1150 matches, 44% in the first half). League averages come from all 1150 of those matches; shot numbers are each side’s real 30-match averages.
Sunderland
FulhamShots and corners are real averages over the last 30 Premier League matches; possession and pass accuracy come from this season's public stats only (1-match sample). Tags derive from that data. Formation and pressing have no reliable free source and are not shown.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | DDWWL | 7 | 5 | +2 | 1.60 |
| Fulham | LLDWL | 5 | 8 | -3 | 0.80 |
1-match sample| Shots (avg) | 11 | 14 |
| On target (avg) | 4 | 6 |
| Possession | 63% | 62% |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 86% |
| Shot xG (avg) | 0.66 | 1.35 |
40–99 scale from each club's relative position on real data over the last three Premier League seasons — not subjective ratings. Samples: 39 vs 77 matches.
| 2026-02-22 | Sunderland | 1–3 | Fulham | EPL |
| 2025-11-22 | Fulham | 1–0 | Sunderland | EPL |
Sunderland
Fulham
The win-probability figure is an "if absent" scenario: the player's real output (xG+xA for attackers, xGA on pitch for defenders) is compared with the club's like-for-like cover, then probabilities are recomputed. It is an add-on scenario and never alters the locked forecast.
Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe 3×3 HT/FT grid is PRO content.
Unlock with PROCorner analysis is PRO content.
Unlock with PRO
The five-axis matchup is PRO content.
Unlock with PROThe model favours Fulham with a 42% win probability, primarily due to their higher power rating and despite Sunderland's recent improved form. A draw is also a significant possibility.
42%All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.