Top probability 43% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
No model lean: line-ball at 43% for Kashiwa Reysol, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cerezo Osaka | LLWLW | 5 | 10 | -5 | 1.20 |
 Kashiwa Reysol | WWWWW | 13 | 5 | +8 | 3.00 |
J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.
3-match sample| Shots (avg) | 8.7 | 12.7 |
| On target (avg) | 3.3 | 6 |
| Possession | 58% | 62% |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 90% |
| 2025-09-20 | Cerezo Osaka | 1–1 | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 |
| 2025-02-26 | Kashiwa Reysol | 2–1 | Cerezo Osaka | J1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Cerezo Osaka | 0–0 | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 |
| 2024-04-03 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1–1 | Cerezo Osaka | J1 |
| 2023-08-12 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1–1 | Cerezo Osaka | J1 |
Cerezo OsakaKashiwa ReysolAbsence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.
No model lean: line-ball at 43% for Kashiwa Reysol, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Strength ratings 1538 v 1656 (ranked 12 and 2) — a modest gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Cerezo Osaka 30%, draw 27%, Kashiwa Reysol 43%. Last five in the league: Cerezo Osaka L-L-W-L-W (1.20 pts/game), Kashiwa Reysol W-W-W-W-W (3.00).
Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.
Unlock with PROTop-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PRONo model lean: line-ball at 43% for Kashiwa Reysol, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
43%All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.