Top probability 45% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
No model lean: line-ball at 45% for Cerezo Osaka, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cerezo Osaka | LLWLW | 5 | 10 | -5 | 1.20 |
 Tokyo Verdy 1969 | LLDLD | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0.40 |
J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.
3-match sample| Shots (avg) | 8.7 | 11 |
| On target (avg) | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| Possession | 58% | 37% |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 76% |
| 2025-06-21 | Cerezo Osaka | 2–1 | Tokyo Verdy 1969 | J1 |
| 2025-04-25 | Tokyo Verdy 1969 | 1–0 | Cerezo Osaka | J1 |
| 2024-07-06 | Tokyo Verdy 1969 | 1–1 | Cerezo Osaka | J1 |
| 2024-03-09 | Cerezo Osaka | 2–1 | Tokyo Verdy 1969 | J1 |
Cerezo OsakaTokyo Verdy 1969Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.
No model lean: line-ball at 45% for Cerezo Osaka, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Strength ratings 1538 v 1472 (ranked 12 and 16) — a modest gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Cerezo Osaka 45%, draw 27%, Tokyo Verdy 1969 28%. Last five in the league: Cerezo Osaka L-L-W-L-W (1.20 pts/game), Tokyo Verdy 1969 L-L-D-L-D (0.40).
Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.
Unlock with PROTop-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PRONo model lean: line-ball at 45% for Cerezo Osaka, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
45%All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.