Top probability 39% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
No model lean: line-ball at 39% for Avispa Fukuoka, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WLLWL | 6 | 5 | +1 | 1.20 | |
| LDW | 5 | 4 | +1 | 1.33 |
J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.
| Shots (avg) | 14.7 | 15.7 |
| On target (avg) | 5 | 4.3 |
| Possession | 41% | 40% |
| Pass accuracy | 71% | 82% |
No recent J1 League meetings.
Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.
No model lean: line-ball at 39% for Avispa Fukuoka, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Strength ratings 1495 v 1504 (ranked 15 and 14) — very close. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Avispa Fukuoka 39%, draw 27%, Mito Hollyhock 34%. Last five in the league: Avispa Fukuoka W-L-L-W-L (1.20 pts/game), Mito Hollyhock L-D-W (1.33).
Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.
Unlock with PROTop-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PRONo model lean: line-ball at 39% for Avispa Fukuoka, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.

