HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 5Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds
Early season
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
Matchweek 5VSWed 2 September at · time TBCBest Denki Stadium
Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red Diamonds
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locks 24h before kickoff; never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
39%Urawa Red Diamonds win
Avispa Fukuoka win 34%Draw 27%Urawa Red Diamonds win 39%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 39%
65% bar

Top probability 39% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

No model lean: line-ball at 39% for Urawa Red Diamonds, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Avispa Fukuoka
1.40
League home avg 1.38
Urawa Red Diamonds
1.51
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.12 Urawa Red Diamonds
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Avispa FukuokaAvispa FukuokaWLLWL65+11.20
Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red DiamondsWWLLL1011-11.20
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Avispa FukuokaUrawa Red Diamonds3-match sample
Shots (avg)14.714.7
On target (avg)53.3
Possession41%50%
Pass accuracy71%78%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1495 / 1568
Expected goals (this match)1.40 / 1.51
Goals per game (last season)0.89 / 1.18
Avispa FukuokaUrawa Red Diamonds
Head to head Last 5FREE
3
Avispa Fukuoka wins
1
Draws
1
Urawa Red Diamonds wins
2025-07-27Urawa Red Diamonds00Avispa FukuokaJ1
2025-04-06Avispa Fukuoka10Urawa Red DiamondsJ1
2024-11-30Avispa Fukuoka10Urawa Red DiamondsJ1
2024-03-30Urawa Red Diamonds21Avispa FukuokaJ1
2023-11-25Urawa Red Diamonds23Avispa FukuokaJ1
Availability FREE
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
No flagged absences
Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red Diamonds
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Match analysis ①–⑦

No model lean: line-ball at 39% for Urawa Red Diamonds, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Strength ratings 1495 v 1568 (ranked 15 and 9) — a modest gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Avispa Fukuoka 34%, draw 27%, Urawa Red Diamonds 39%. Last five in the league: Avispa Fukuoka W-L-L-W-L (1.20 pts/game), Urawa Red Diamonds W-W-L-L-L (1.20).

Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Key players FREE
WE
WERIK POPO FW
1G · 0A · 250'
Avispa Fukuoka
FU
FUJIMOTO Kazuki FW
1G · 0A · 207'
Avispa Fukuoka
MO
MOROOKA Shu FW
1G · 0A · 188'
Avispa Fukuoka
KA
KANEKO Takuro MF
1G · 2A · 267'
Urawa Red Diamonds
WA
WATANABE Ryoma MF
1G · 2A · 240'
Urawa Red Diamonds
KO
KOMORI Hiiro FW
1G · 0A · 185'
Urawa Red Diamonds
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 39% for Urawa Red Diamonds, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Urawa Red Diamonds39%
Even
Confidence
No lean
39%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
2.40
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.