Top probability 51% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
No model lean: line-ball at 51% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | WWWWD | 12 | 4 | +8 | 2.60 |
 Nagoya Grampus | LWLLW | 6 | 7 | -1 | 1.20 |
J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.
3-match sample| Shots (avg) | 21.3 | 17.3 |
| On target (avg) | 8 | 6.3 |
| Possession | 54% | 59% |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 84% |
| 2025-06-28 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1–2 | Nagoya Grampus | J1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Nagoya Grampus | 2–1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 |
| 2024-08-17 | Nagoya Grampus | 1–2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 |
| 2024-05-06 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2–3 | Nagoya Grampus | J1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3–1 | Nagoya Grampus | J1 |
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya GrampusAbsence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.
No model lean: line-ball at 51% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Strength ratings 1647 v 1518 (ranked 3 and 13) — a clear gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51%, draw 26%, Nagoya Grampus 24%. Last five in the league: Sanfrecce Hiroshima W-W-W-W-D (2.60 pts/game), Nagoya Grampus L-W-L-L-W (1.20).
Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.
Unlock with PROTop-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PRONo model lean: line-ball at 51% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
51%All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.