SUKINAFOOTBALLFri 9 Oct · 06:00
PRE-MATCH MODEL FORECAST · J1 League
Evenly matched
Win probability
51%Home26%Draw24%Away
Score predictionPRO
Likely scorersPRO
Model confidenceMid51/100
Statistical model · reference only · not betting advicesukinafootball.com
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Match analysis
No model lean: line-ball at 51% for Kashima Antlers, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Strength ratings 1651 v 1521 (ranked 3 and 12) — a clear gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Kashima Antlers 51%, draw 26%, Gamba Osaka 24%. Last five in the league: Kashima Antlers W-W-W-W-W (3.00 pts/game), Gamba Osaka L-W-W-D-L (1.40).
Expected goals (home / away split) league average split by strength gap
Kashima Antlers
1.76
League home avg 1.38
Gamba Osaka
1.15
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.61 Kashima Antlers
Shots (avg)
—
On target (avg)
—
Recent form Last 5 J1 League
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WWWWW | 12 | 7 | +5 | 3.00 | |
| LWWDL | 10 | 9 | +1 | 1.40 |
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongest
Radar not shown yet
J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.
| Shots (avg) | 16 | 13.7 |
| On target (avg) | 5 | 5.3 |
| Possession | 58% | 59% |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 85% |
Model data
Strength rating1651 / 1521
Expected goals (home / away split)1.76 / 1.15
Goals per game (last season)1.53 / 1.39
◀ Kashima AntlersGamba Osaka ▶
Head to head Last 5
2
Kashima Antlers wins
2
Draws
1
Gamba Osaka wins
| 2025-10-05 | Kashima Antlers | 0–0 | Gamba Osaka | J1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Gamba Osaka | 0–1 | Kashima Antlers | J1 |
| 2024-06-26 | Kashima Antlers | 0–0 | Gamba Osaka | J1 |
| 2024-04-28 | Gamba Osaka | 1–2 | Kashima Antlers | J1 |
| 2023-06-24 | Gamba Osaka | 2–1 | Kashima Antlers | J1 |
Availability
No flagged absences
No flagged absences
Model confidence
Mid51/100
Lean clarity
Goals agreement
Decisive result
68 = high
Most likely score PRO
PRO CONTENT
Expected goals (home / away split) PRO
PRO CONTENT
Key players
LE
4G · 0A · 249'
CA
3G · 0A · 58'
SU
0G · 1A · 267'
YA
0G · 2A · 269'
IS
1G · 1A · 90'
AB
0G · 1A · 253'
By goals + assists
Goals & scoreline projection
Top score
?–?
Expected total goals
3.10
20-match blend (reference)
All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.