HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 6Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds
Match of the WeekEarly season
Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers
Matchweek 6VSSun 6 September at 5:00 amKashima Soccer Stadium
Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red Diamonds
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
50%
Draw
26%
Away
24%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locks 24h before kickoff; never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
50%Kashima Antlers win
Kashima Antlers win 50%Draw 26%Urawa Red Diamonds win 24%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 50%
65% bar

Top probability 50% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

No model lean: line-ball at 50% for Kashima Antlers, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Kashima Antlers
1.76
League home avg 1.38
Urawa Red Diamonds
1.15
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.61 Kashima Antlers
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Kashima AntlersKashima AntlersWWWWW127+53.00
Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red DiamondsWWLLL1011-11.20
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Kashima AntlersUrawa Red Diamonds3-match sample
Shots (avg)1614.7
On target (avg)53.3
Possession58%50%
Pass accuracy83%78%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1697 / 1568
Expected goals (this match)1.76 / 1.15
Goals per game (last season)1.53 / 1.18
Kashima AntlersUrawa Red Diamonds
Head to head Last 5FREE
1
Kashima Antlers wins
4
Draws
0
Urawa Red Diamonds wins
2025-09-20Urawa Red Diamonds01Kashima AntlersJ1
2025-03-16Kashima Antlers11Urawa Red DiamondsJ1
2024-08-17Kashima Antlers00Urawa Red DiamondsJ1
2024-06-22Urawa Red Diamonds22Kashima AntlersJ1
2023-10-28Kashima Antlers00Urawa Red DiamondsJ1
Availability FREE
Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers
No flagged absences
Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red Diamonds
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Match analysis ①–⑦

No model lean: line-ball at 50% for Kashima Antlers, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Strength ratings 1697 v 1568 (ranked 1 and 9) — a clear gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Kashima Antlers 50%, draw 26%, Urawa Red Diamonds 24%. Last five in the league: Kashima Antlers W-W-W-W-W (3.00 pts/game), Urawa Red Diamonds W-W-L-L-L (1.20).

Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.

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Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

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Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

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Key players FREE
LE
LEO CEARA FW
4G · 0A · 249'
Kashima Antlers
CA
CAVRIC FW
3G · 0A · 58'
Kashima Antlers
SU
SUZUKI Yuma FW
0G · 1A · 267'
Kashima Antlers
KA
KANEKO Takuro MF
1G · 2A · 267'
Urawa Red Diamonds
WA
WATANABE Ryoma MF
1G · 2A · 240'
Urawa Red Diamonds
KO
KOMORI Hiiro FW
1G · 0A · 185'
Urawa Red Diamonds
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 50% for Kashima Antlers, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Kashima Antlers50%
Even
Confidence
No lean
50%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
2.70
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.