HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 4Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
Too close to call
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
Matchweek 442Sat 29 August at 6:00 amUvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu
JEF United Ichihara-ChibaJEF United Ichihara-Chiba
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
49%
Draw
26%
Away
25%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locked before kickoff — never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
49%Kawasaki Frontale win
Kawasaki Frontale win 49%Draw 26%JEF United Ichihara-Chiba win 25%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 49%
65% bar

Top probability 49% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

Pre-match, the model gave this outcome 49% (ranked 1 of 3).

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Kawasaki Frontale
1.72
League home avg 1.38
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
1.19
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.53 Kawasaki Frontale
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki FrontaleLLDDD510-50.60
JEF United Ichihara-ChibaJEF United Ichihara-ChibaLLL09-90.00
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only. Promoted sides have fewer J1 League matches on record.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Kawasaki FrontaleJEF United Ichihara-Chiba3-match sample
Shots (avg)18.37.7
On target (avg)5.72
Possession56%45%
Pass accuracy83%79%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1586 / 1458
Expected goals (this match)1.72 / 1.19
Kawasaki FrontaleJEF United Ichihara-Chiba
Head to head Last 0FREE

No recent J1 League meetings.

Availability FREE
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
No flagged absences
JEF United Ichihara-ChibaJEF United Ichihara-Chiba
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Key players FREE
LA
LAZAR ROMANIC FW
2G · 0A · 192'
Kawasaki Frontale
YA
YAMAMOTO Yuki MF
1G · 0A · 252'
Kawasaki Frontale
IT
ITO Tatsuya FW
0G · 1A · 225'
Kawasaki Frontale
ER
ERISON FW
0G · 0A · 270'
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
TS
TSUKUI Takumi MF
0G · 0A · 247'
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
MA
MATHEUS INDIO MF
0G · 0A · 214'
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 49% for Kawasaki Frontale, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Kawasaki Frontale49%
Even
Confidence
No lean
49%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
3.40
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.