HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 6Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse
Early season
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
Matchweek 6VSSun 6 September at 6:00 amJapan National Stadium
Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
51%
Draw
26%
Away
23%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locks 24h before kickoff; never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
51%Kawasaki Frontale win
Kawasaki Frontale win 51%Draw 26%Shimizu S-Pulse win 23%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 51%
65% bar

Top probability 51% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

No model lean: line-ball at 51% for Kawasaki Frontale, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Kawasaki Frontale
1.78
League home avg 1.38
Shimizu S-Pulse
1.13
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.65 Kawasaki Frontale
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki FrontaleLLDDD510-50.60
Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-PulseLLWLL25-30.60
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-Pulse3-match sample
Shots (avg)18.312
On target (avg)5.74.3
Possession56%35%
Pass accuracy83%66%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1586 / 1446
Expected goals (this match)1.78 / 1.13
Goals per game (last season)1.76 / 1.08
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-Pulse
Head to head Last 2FREE
1
Kawasaki Frontale wins
1
Draws
0
Shimizu S-Pulse wins
2025-10-18Kawasaki Frontale53Shimizu S-PulseJ1
2025-04-12Shimizu S-Pulse11Kawasaki FrontaleJ1
Availability FREE
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
No flagged absences
Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Match analysis ①–⑦

No model lean: line-ball at 51% for Kawasaki Frontale, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Strength ratings 1586 v 1446 (ranked 7 and 19) — a clear gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Kawasaki Frontale 51%, draw 26%, Shimizu S-Pulse 23%. Last five in the league: Kawasaki Frontale L-L-D-D-D (0.60 pts/game), Shimizu S-Pulse L-L-W-L-L (0.60).

Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.

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Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

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Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

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Key players FREE
LA
LAZAR ROMANIC FW
2G · 0A · 192'
Kawasaki Frontale
YA
YAMAMOTO Yuki MF
1G · 0A · 252'
Kawasaki Frontale
IT
ITO Tatsuya FW
0G · 1A · 225'
Kawasaki Frontale
KI
KITAGAWA Koya FW
1G · 0A · 252'
Shimizu S-Pulse
FU
FUJII Tomoya MF
0G · 1A · 214'
Shimizu S-Pulse
GE
GERMAIN Ryo FW
0G · 0A · 270'
Shimizu S-Pulse
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 51% for Kawasaki Frontale, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Kawasaki Frontale51%
Even
Confidence
No lean
51%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
2.90
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.