HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 4Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka
Too close to call
Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
Matchweek 410Sat 29 August at 6:00 amKobe Wing Stadium
Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
46%
Draw
26%
Away
28%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locked before kickoff — never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
46%Vissel Kobe win
Vissel Kobe win 46%Draw 26%Cerezo Osaka win 28%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 46%
65% bar

Top probability 46% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

Pre-match, the model gave this outcome 46% (ranked 1 of 3).

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Vissel Kobe
1.66
League home avg 1.38
Cerezo Osaka
1.25
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.42 Vissel Kobe
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Vissel KobeVissel KobeDLWDL35-21.00
Cerezo OsakaCerezo OsakaLLWLW510-51.20
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Vissel KobeCerezo Osaka3-match sample
Shots (avg)9.38.7
On target (avg)23.3
Possession56%58%
Pass accuracy77%79%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1629 / 1538
Expected goals (this match)1.66 / 1.25
Goals per game (last season)1.21 / 1.58
Vissel KobeCerezo Osaka
Head to head Last 5FREE
3
Vissel Kobe wins
1
Draws
1
Cerezo Osaka wins
2025-08-23Cerezo Osaka11Vissel KobeJ1
2025-05-06Vissel Kobe13Cerezo OsakaJ1
2024-09-13Vissel Kobe21Cerezo OsakaJ1
2024-05-11Cerezo Osaka14Vissel KobeJ1
2023-09-23Vissel Kobe10Cerezo OsakaJ1
Availability FREE
Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
No flagged absences
Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Key players FREE
OS
OSAKO Yuya FW
2G · 0A · 179'
Vissel Kobe
MU
MUTO Yoshinori FW
1G · 0A · 180'
Vissel Kobe
ID
IDEGUCHI Yosuke MF
0G · 0A · 241'
Vissel Kobe
SA
SAKURAGAWA Solomon FW
1G · 0A · 246'
Cerezo Osaka
YO
YOKOYAMA Yumeki MF
1G · 0A · 176'
Cerezo Osaka
KA
KAGAWA Shinji MF
0G · 1A · 163'
Cerezo Osaka
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 46% for Vissel Kobe, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Vissel Kobe46%
Even
Confidence
No lean
46%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
2.50
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.