Top probability 58% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
Model lean: Vissel Kobe (58%) — higher confidence, not one-sided.
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vissel Kobe | DLWDL | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1.00 |
 V-Varen Nagasaki | WLL | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1.00 |
J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.
3-match sample| Shots (avg) | 9.3 | 8 |
| On target (avg) | 2 | 2.7 |
| Possession | 56% | 43% |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% |
No recent J1 League meetings.
Vissel KobeV-Varen NagasakiAbsence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.
Model lean: Vissel Kobe (58%) — higher confidence, not one-sided.
Strength ratings 1629 v 1416 (ranked 4 and 20) — a clear gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Vissel Kobe 58%, draw 24%, V-Varen Nagasaki 18%. Last five in the league: Vissel Kobe D-L-W-D-L (1.00 pts/game), V-Varen Nagasaki W-L-L (1.00).
Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.
Unlock with PROTop-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PROModel lean: Vissel Kobe (58%) — higher confidence, not one-sided.
58%All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.