HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 6Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
Early season
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
Matchweek 6VSSun 6 September at 6:00 amSankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locks 24h before kickoff; never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
47%Kashiwa Reysol win
Kashiwa Reysol win 47%Draw 26%Yokohama F. Marinos win 27%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 47%
65% bar

Top probability 47% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

No model lean: line-ball at 47% for Kashiwa Reysol, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Kashiwa Reysol
1.68
League home avg 1.38
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.23
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.45 Kashiwa Reysol
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa ReysolWWWWW135+83.00
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. MarinosWLLWW97+21.80
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Kashiwa ReysolYokohama F. Marinos3-match sample
Shots (avg)12.710
On target (avg)62.7
Possession62%46%
Pass accuracy90%72%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1656 / 1572
Expected goals (this match)1.68 / 1.23
Goals per game (last season)1.58 / 1.21
Kashiwa ReysolYokohama F. Marinos
Head to head Last 5FREE
4
Kashiwa Reysol wins
0
Draws
1
Yokohama F. Marinos wins
2025-10-04Kashiwa Reysol10Yokohama F. MarinosJ1
2025-05-14Yokohama F. Marinos02Kashiwa ReysolJ1
2024-10-05Kashiwa Reysol10Yokohama F. MarinosJ1
2024-05-29Yokohama F. Marinos40Kashiwa ReysolJ1
2023-09-02Kashiwa Reysol20Yokohama F. MarinosJ1
Availability FREE
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
No flagged absences
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Match analysis ①–⑦

No model lean: line-ball at 47% for Kashiwa Reysol, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Strength ratings 1656 v 1572 (ranked 2 and 8) — a modest gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Kashiwa Reysol 47%, draw 26%, Yokohama F. Marinos 27%. Last five in the league: Kashiwa Reysol W-W-W-W-W (3.00 pts/game), Yokohama F. Marinos W-L-L-W-W (1.80).

Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.

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Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

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Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

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Key players FREE
KU
KUBO Tojiro MF
1G · 2A · 253'
Kashiwa Reysol
KO
KOIZUMI Yoshio MF
2G · 1A · 248'
Kashiwa Reysol
SE
SEGAWA Yusuke MF
2G · 1A · 90'
Kashiwa Reysol
AM
AMANO Jun MF
0G · 2A · 249'
Yokohama F. Marinos
TA
TANIMURA Kaina FW
2G · 0A · 235'
Yokohama F. Marinos
KO
KONDO Tomoki FW
0G · 2A · 235'
Yokohama F. Marinos
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 47% for Kashiwa Reysol, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Kashiwa Reysol47%
Even
Confidence
No lean
47%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
2.80
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.