HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 5Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima Antlers
Early season
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
Matchweek 5VSWed 2 September at · time TBCKasamatsu Stadium
Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
25%
Draw
26%
Away
49%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locks 24h before kickoff; never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
49%Kashima Antlers win
Mito Hollyhock win 25%Draw 26%Kashima Antlers win 49%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 49%
65% bar

Top probability 49% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

No model lean: line-ball at 49% for Kashima Antlers, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Mito Hollyhock
1.18
League home avg 1.38
Kashima Antlers
1.73
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.55 Kashima Antlers
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Mito HollyhockMito HollyhockLDW54+11.33
Kashima AntlersKashima AntlersWWWWW127+53.00
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only. Promoted sides have fewer J1 League matches on record.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Mito HollyhockKashima Antlers3-match sample
Shots (avg)15.716
On target (avg)4.35
Possession40%58%
Pass accuracy82%83%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1504 / 1697
Expected goals (this match)1.18 / 1.73
Mito HollyhockKashima Antlers
Head to head Last 0FREE

No recent J1 League meetings.

Availability FREE
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
No flagged absences
Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Match analysis ①–⑦

No model lean: line-ball at 49% for Kashima Antlers, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Strength ratings 1504 v 1697 (ranked 14 and 1) — a clear gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Mito Hollyhock 25%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 49%. Last five in the league: Mito Hollyhock L-D-W (1.33 pts/game), Kashima Antlers W-W-W-W-W (3.00).

Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.

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Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

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Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

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Key players FREE
FU
FUNABASHI Yu MF
0G · 2A · 239'
Mito Hollyhock
SE
SEMBA Taishi MF
0G · 1A · 270'
Mito Hollyhock
UC
UCHINO Kotaro FW
1G · 0A · 257'
Mito Hollyhock
LE
LEO CEARA FW
4G · 0A · 249'
Kashima Antlers
CA
CAVRIC FW
3G · 0A · 58'
Kashima Antlers
SU
SUZUKI Yuma FW
0G · 1A · 267'
Kashima Antlers
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 49% for Kashima Antlers, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Kashima Antlers49%
Even
Confidence
No lean
49%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
2.90
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.