HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 6Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Early season
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
Matchweek 6VSSun 6 September at 5:00 amCity Light Stadium
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
26%
Draw
26%
Away
48%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locks 24h before kickoff; never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
48%Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Fagiano Okayama win 26%Draw 26%Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 48%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 48%
65% bar

Top probability 48% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

No model lean: line-ball at 48% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Fagiano Okayama
1.20
League home avg 1.38
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.71
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.51 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano OkayamaLWLWD4401.40
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce HiroshimaWWWWD124+82.60
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima3-match sample
Shots (avg)18.721.3
On target (avg)3.78
Possession50%54%
Pass accuracy76%82%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1465 / 1647
Expected goals (this match)1.20 / 1.71
Goals per game (last season)0.89 / 1.21
Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Head to head Last 2FREE
1
Fagiano Okayama wins
0
Draws
1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins
2025-07-05Fagiano Okayama01Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1
2025-04-12Sanfrecce Hiroshima01Fagiano OkayamaJ1
Availability FREE
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
No flagged absences
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Match analysis ①–⑦

No model lean: line-ball at 48% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Strength ratings 1465 v 1647 (ranked 17 and 3) — a clear gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 48%. Last five in the league: Fagiano Okayama L-W-L-W-D (1.40 pts/game), Sanfrecce Hiroshima W-W-W-W-D (2.60).

Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.

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Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

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Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

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Key players FREE
MI
MIYAMOTO Eiji MF
0G · 1A · 246'
Fagiano Okayama
LU
LUCAO FW
1G · 0A · 193'
Fagiano Okayama
BR
BROWNE Noah Kenshin MF
1G · 0A · 87'
Fagiano Okayama
SU
SUZUKI Akito FW
3G · 0A · 270'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
KA
KAWABE Hayao MF
0G · 1A · 268'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HI
HIGASHI Shunki MF
0G · 1A · 239'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 48% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Sanfrecce Hiroshima48%
Even
Confidence
No lean
48%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
2.20
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.