HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 4Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol
Too close to call
Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse
Matchweek 401Sat 29 August at 5:30 amIAI Stadium Nihondaira
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
24%
Draw
26%
Away
50%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locked before kickoff — never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
50%Kashiwa Reysol win
Shimizu S-Pulse win 24%Draw 26%Kashiwa Reysol win 50%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 50%
65% bar

Top probability 50% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

Pre-match, the model gave this outcome 50% (ranked 1 of 3).

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Shimizu S-Pulse
1.17
League home avg 1.38
Kashiwa Reysol
1.74
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.58 Kashiwa Reysol
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-PulseLLWLL25-30.60
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa ReysolWWWWW135+83.00
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Shimizu S-PulseKashiwa Reysol3-match sample
Shots (avg)1212.7
On target (avg)4.36
Possession35%62%
Pass accuracy66%90%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1446 / 1656
Expected goals (this match)1.17 / 1.74
Goals per game (last season)1.08 / 1.58
Shimizu S-PulseKashiwa Reysol
Head to head Last 2FREE
0
Shimizu S-Pulse wins
0
Draws
2
Kashiwa Reysol wins
2025-06-28Shimizu S-Pulse02Kashiwa ReysolJ1
2025-05-06Kashiwa Reysol10Shimizu S-PulseJ1
Availability FREE
Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse
No flagged absences
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Key players FREE
KI
KITAGAWA Koya FW
1G · 0A · 252'
Shimizu S-Pulse
FU
FUJII Tomoya MF
0G · 1A · 214'
Shimizu S-Pulse
GE
GERMAIN Ryo FW
0G · 0A · 270'
Shimizu S-Pulse
KU
KUBO Tojiro MF
1G · 2A · 253'
Kashiwa Reysol
KO
KOIZUMI Yoshio MF
2G · 1A · 248'
Kashiwa Reysol
SE
SEGAWA Yusuke MF
2G · 1A · 90'
Kashiwa Reysol
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 50% for Kashiwa Reysol, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Kashiwa Reysol50%
Even
Confidence
No lean
50%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
2.50
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.