HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 4Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Kashima Antlers
Too close to call
Tokyo Verdy 1969Tokyo Verdy 1969
Matchweek 402Sat 29 August at 6:00 amTokyo Stadium
Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
24%
Draw
26%
Away
51%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locked before kickoff — never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
51%Kashima Antlers win
Tokyo Verdy 1969 win 24%Draw 26%Kashima Antlers win 51%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 51%
65% bar

Top probability 51% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

Pre-match, the model gave this outcome 51% (ranked 1 of 3).

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Tokyo Verdy 1969
1.15
League home avg 1.38
Kashima Antlers
1.76
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.62 Kashima Antlers
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Tokyo Verdy 1969Tokyo Verdy 1969LLDLD39-60.40
Kashima AntlersKashima AntlersWWWWW127+53.00
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Tokyo Verdy 1969Kashima Antlers3-match sample
Shots (avg)1116
On target (avg)2.75
Possession37%58%
Pass accuracy76%83%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1472 / 1697
Expected goals (this match)1.15 / 1.76
Goals per game (last season)0.61 / 1.53
Tokyo Verdy 1969Kashima Antlers
Head to head Last 4FREE
1
Tokyo Verdy 1969 wins
1
Draws
2
Kashima Antlers wins
2025-11-30Tokyo Verdy 196901Kashima AntlersJ1
2025-02-22Kashima Antlers40Tokyo Verdy 1969J1
2024-08-25Tokyo Verdy 196921Kashima AntlersJ1
2024-05-12Kashima Antlers33Tokyo Verdy 1969J1
Availability FREE
Tokyo Verdy 1969Tokyo Verdy 1969
No flagged absences
Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Key players FREE
SO
SOMENO Itsuki FW
0G · 1A · 266'
Tokyo Verdy 1969
ME
MESHINO Soma MF
0G · 1A · 146'
Tokyo Verdy 1969
HI
HIRAKAWA Rei MF
0G · 0A · 235'
Tokyo Verdy 1969
LE
LEO CEARA FW
4G · 0A · 249'
Kashima Antlers
CA
CAVRIC FW
3G · 0A · 58'
Kashima Antlers
SU
SUZUKI Yuma FW
0G · 1A · 267'
Kashima Antlers
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 51% for Kashima Antlers, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Kashima Antlers51%
Even
Confidence
No lean
51%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
2.20
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.