HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 5Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs Vissel Kobe
Early season
Tokyo Verdy 1969Tokyo Verdy 1969
Matchweek 5VSWed 2 September at · time TBCTokyo Stadium
Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
27%
Draw
26%
Away
46%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locks 24h before kickoff; never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
46%Vissel Kobe win
Tokyo Verdy 1969 win 27%Draw 26%Vissel Kobe win 46%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 46%
65% bar

Top probability 46% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

No model lean: line-ball at 46% for Vissel Kobe, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Tokyo Verdy 1969
1.24
League home avg 1.38
Vissel Kobe
1.67
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.42 Vissel Kobe
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Tokyo Verdy 1969Tokyo Verdy 1969LLDLD39-60.40
Vissel KobeVissel KobeDLWDL35-21.00
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Tokyo Verdy 1969Vissel Kobe3-match sample
Shots (avg)119.3
On target (avg)2.72
Possession37%56%
Pass accuracy76%77%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1472 / 1629
Expected goals (this match)1.24 / 1.67
Goals per game (last season)0.61 / 1.21
Tokyo Verdy 1969Vissel Kobe
Head to head Last 4FREE
1
Tokyo Verdy 1969 wins
1
Draws
2
Vissel Kobe wins
2025-09-23Vissel Kobe40Tokyo Verdy 1969J1
2025-04-12Tokyo Verdy 196901Vissel KobeJ1
2024-11-10Tokyo Verdy 196911Vissel KobeJ1
2024-05-26Vissel Kobe01Tokyo Verdy 1969J1
Availability FREE
Tokyo Verdy 1969Tokyo Verdy 1969
No flagged absences
Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Match analysis ①–⑦

No model lean: line-ball at 46% for Vissel Kobe, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Strength ratings 1472 v 1629 (ranked 16 and 4) — a clear gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Tokyo Verdy 1969 27%, draw 26%, Vissel Kobe 46%. Last five in the league: Tokyo Verdy 1969 L-L-D-L-D (0.40 pts/game), Vissel Kobe D-L-W-D-L (1.00).

Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.

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Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

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Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

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Key players FREE
SO
SOMENO Itsuki FW
0G · 1A · 266'
Tokyo Verdy 1969
ME
MESHINO Soma MF
0G · 1A · 146'
Tokyo Verdy 1969
HI
HIRAKAWA Rei MF
0G · 0A · 235'
Tokyo Verdy 1969
OS
OSAKO Yuya FW
2G · 0A · 179'
Vissel Kobe
MU
MUTO Yoshinori FW
1G · 0A · 180'
Vissel Kobe
ID
IDEGUCHI Yosuke MF
0G · 0A · 241'
Vissel Kobe
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 46% for Vissel Kobe, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Vissel Kobe46%
Even
Confidence
No lean
46%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
1.80
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.