HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 5Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga
Early season
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
Matchweek 5VSWed 2 September at · time TBCNissan Stadium
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
37%
Draw
27%
Away
36%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locks 24h before kickoff; never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
37%Yokohama F. Marinos win
Yokohama F. Marinos win 37%Draw 27%Kyoto Sanga win 36%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 37%
65% bar

Top probability 37% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

No model lean: line-ball at 37% for Yokohama F. Marinos, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.46
League home avg 1.38
Kyoto Sanga
1.45
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.01 Yokohama F. Marinos
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. MarinosWLLWW97+21.80
Kyoto SangaKyoto SangaWWLDL7701.40
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Yokohama F. MarinosKyoto Sanga3-match sample
Shots (avg)1012.7
On target (avg)2.74.3
Possession46%54%
Pass accuracy72%79%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1572 / 1609
Expected goals (this match)1.46 / 1.45
Goals per game (last season)1.21 / 1.63
Yokohama F. MarinosKyoto Sanga
Head to head Last 5FREE
2
Yokohama F. Marinos wins
0
Draws
3
Kyoto Sanga wins
2025-11-09Kyoto Sanga03Yokohama F. MarinosJ1
2025-05-17Yokohama F. Marinos03Kyoto SangaJ1
2024-09-13Yokohama F. Marinos12Kyoto SangaJ1
2024-03-17Kyoto Sanga23Yokohama F. MarinosJ1
2023-12-03Kyoto Sanga31Yokohama F. MarinosJ1
Availability FREE
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
No flagged absences
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Match analysis ①–⑦

No model lean: line-ball at 37% for Yokohama F. Marinos, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Strength ratings 1572 v 1609 (ranked 8 and 5) — very close. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Yokohama F. Marinos 37%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 36%. Last five in the league: Yokohama F. Marinos W-L-L-W-W (1.80 pts/game), Kyoto Sanga W-W-L-D-L (1.40).

Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.

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Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

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Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

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Key players FREE
AM
AMANO Jun MF
0G · 2A · 249'
Yokohama F. Marinos
TA
TANIMURA Kaina FW
2G · 0A · 235'
Yokohama F. Marinos
KO
KONDO Tomoki FW
0G · 2A · 235'
Yokohama F. Marinos
RA
RAFAEL ELIAS FW
2G · 0A · 270'
Kyoto Sanga
NA
NAKANO Ryuma MF
1G · 0A · 90'
Kyoto Sanga
OK
OKUGAWA Masaya MF
0G · 1A · 45'
Kyoto Sanga
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 37% for Yokohama F. Marinos, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Yokohama F. Marinos37%
Even
Confidence
No lean
37%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
2.70
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.