Top probability 48% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
No model lean: line-ball at 48% for Real Madrid, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG); halves split by the measured La Liga share (1160 matches, 44% in the first half). League averages come from all 1160 of those matches; shot numbers are each side’s real 30-match averages.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Betis | WLWWW | 7 | 5 | +2 | 2.40 |
 Real Madrid | WWWWW | 13 | 4 | +9 | 3.00 |
La Liga lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.
2-match sample| Shots (avg) | 16.5 | 20.5 |
| On target (avg) | 5 | 9.5 |
| Shot xG (avg) | 0.98 | 2.92 |
| 2026-04-24 | Real Betis | 1–1 | Real Madrid | LALIGA |
| 2026-01-04 | Real Madrid | 5–1 | Real Betis | LALIGA |
| 2025-03-01 | Real Betis | 2–1 | Real Madrid | LALIGA |
| 2024-09-01 | Real Madrid | 2–0 | Real Betis | LALIGA |
| 2024-05-25 | Real Madrid | 0–0 | Real Betis | LALIGA |
Real BetisReal MadridAbsence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.
No model lean: line-ball at 48% for Real Madrid, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Strength ratings 1594 v 1784 (ranked 5 and 2) — a clear gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Real Betis 24%, draw 28%, Real Madrid 48%. Last five in the league: Real Betis W-L-W-W-W (2.40 pts/game), Real Madrid W-W-W-W-W (3.00).
Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.
Unlock with PROTop-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe 3×3 HT/FT grid is PRO content.
Unlock with PROCorner analysis is PRO content.
Unlock with PRONo model lean: line-ball at 48% for Real Madrid, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
48%All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.