La LigaReal Madrid
La Liga · 2026–27
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2026–27 season fixtures, algorithmic win probabilities and team-strength ratings. Analytics only — not a betting service.

Model rating 90Strength rank 2 of 20
Club profile

Real Madrid was founded in 1902 and plays at Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid. Its current model rating is 90, ranking 2 of 20.

Founded
1902
Home ground
Santiago Bernabéu
City
Madrid

Sources: home ground and city from this season's fixture venues; founding year from Wikidata (CC0); nickname from the match-data provider.

La Liga record

Last 5 La Liga seasons.

SeasonPosPWDLGFGAPtsWin%
2025–26238275677358671%
2024–25238266678388468%
2023–24138298187269576%
2022–23238246875367863%
2021–22138268480318668%

Source: public results from football-data.co.uk, tabulated per season (3 points a win, 1 a draw) — the same history the model uses to compute strength ratings.

Model season outlook

Based on the 35 matches not yet played.

Expected points, remaining fixtures
~75
2.15 per match
Goals scored per match
1.93
~67 over 35 matches
Goals conceded per match
0.72
~25 over 35 matches
Home / away
17 H · 18 A

Goals conceded per match is how many the model expects this team to let in each game. All figures are model averages over the matches not yet played (points weighted 3 for a win, 1 a draw). They move as strength ratings update, and are not a prediction of the final points total or league position.

This season
3 P · 3 W 0 D 0 L · 10 GF 2 GA · 9 Pts
1 in the table
Last 5WWW
Squad

31 players · snapshot as of 2026-08-31; may change during the window.

Goalkeepers 3
1Thibaut Courtois34Belgium
13Andriy Lunin27Ukraine
26Sergio Mestre21Spain
Defenders 11
2Raúl Asencio23Spain
3Éder Militão28Brazil
4Dean Huijsen21Spain
12Trent Alexander-Arnold27England
16Ibrahima Konaté27France
17Marc Cucurella28Spain
18Álvaro Carreras23Spain
22Antonio Rüdiger33Germany
23Ferland Mendy31France
24Denzel Dumfries30Netherlands
33Mario Rivas19Spain
Midfielders 11
5Jude Bellingham23England
6Eduardo Camavinga23France
8Federico Valverde28Uruguay
14Aurélien Tchouaméni26France
15Arda Güler21Türkiye
20Bernardo Silva32Portugal
21Brahim Díaz27Morocco
27Thiago Pitarch19Spain
29Jorge Cestero20Spain
31Javier Navarro22Spain
36Alexis Ciria
Forwards 6
7Vinícius Júnior26Brazil
9Endrick20Brazil
10Kylian Mbappé27France
11Rodrygo25Brazil
19Carlos Espí21Spain
25Yan Diomande19Ivory Coast

Source: match-data provider roster snapshot; player names shown in English. The squad is not a model input.

Upcoming3
04 SEP · 15:00
Real BetisReal BetisVSReal MadridReal Madrid
24%28%48%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
12 SEP · 15:00
Real MadridReal MadridVSRayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
Forecast opens closer to kickoff
Analysis →
15 SEP · 15:30
ElcheElcheVSReal MadridReal Madrid
Forecast opens closer to kickoff
Analysis →
2026–27 fixtures38
22/08AEspanyolEspanyol2–1
26/08HReal SociedadReal Sociedad4–1
30/08HMálagaMálaga4–0
04/09AReal BetisReal BetisWin 48%
12/09HRayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoOpens near kickoff
15/09AElcheElcheOpens near kickoff
20/09AAtlético MadridAtlético MadridOpens near kickoff
11/10HVillarrealVillarrealOpens near kickoff
18/10HSevillaSevillaOpens near kickoff
25/10ABarcelonaBarcelonaOpens near kickoff
01/11ARacing SantanderRacing SantanderOpens near kickoff
08/11AValenciaValenciaOpens near kickoff
22/11HCelta VigoCelta VigoOpens near kickoff
29/11HAlavésAlavésOpens near kickoff
06/12AAthletic ClubAthletic ClubOpens near kickoff
13/12HOsasunaOsasunaOpens near kickoff
20/12ADeportivoDeportivoOpens near kickoff
03/01HGetafeGetafeOpens near kickoff
10/01HLevanteLevanteOpens near kickoff
17/01AMálagaMálagaOpens near kickoff
24/01HReal BetisReal BetisOpens near kickoff
31/01ARayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoOpens near kickoff
07/02AReal SociedadReal SociedadOpens near kickoff
14/02HAthletic ClubAthletic ClubOpens near kickoff
21/02ASevillaSevillaOpens near kickoff
28/02HValenciaValenciaOpens near kickoff
07/03AVillarrealVillarrealOpens near kickoff
14/03HEspanyolEspanyolOpens near kickoff
21/03ACelta VigoCelta VigoOpens near kickoff
04/04HAtlético MadridAtlético MadridOpens near kickoff
11/04AOsasunaOsasunaOpens near kickoff
18/04AGetafeGetafeOpens near kickoff
21/04HElcheElcheOpens near kickoff
02/05ALevanteLevanteOpens near kickoff
09/05HBarcelonaBarcelonaOpens near kickoff
16/05HRacing SantanderRacing SantanderOpens near kickoff
23/05AAlavésAlavésOpens near kickoff
30/05HDeportivoDeportivoOpens near kickoff

The model reads match results only — summer transfers and squad changes are not inputs. Forecasts for the first six matchweeks are flagged as early-season.

The La Liga is newly added; the model's track record starts accumulating from this season's opening matchweek.

Rating derived from a proprietary statistical model; methodology is a trade secret, track record is public.

Statistical estimates for reference only. Not betting advice. Past accuracy does not indicate future results.

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