La LigaAtlético Madrid
La Liga · 2026–27
Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

2026–27 season fixtures, algorithmic win probabilities and team-strength ratings. Analytics only — not a betting service.

Model rating 73Strength rank 3 of 20
Club profile

Atlético Madrid was founded in 1903 and plays at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid. Its current model rating is 73, ranking 3 of 20.

Founded
1903
Home ground
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
City
Madrid

Sources: home ground and city from this season's fixture venues; founding year from Wikidata (CC0); nickname from the match-data provider.

La Liga record

Last 5 La Liga seasons.

SeasonPosPWDLGFGAPtsWin%
2025–264382161162446955%
2024–253382210668307658%
2023–244382441070437663%
2022–23338238770337761%
2021–22338218965437155%

Source: public results from football-data.co.uk, tabulated per season (3 points a win, 1 a draw) — the same history the model uses to compute strength ratings.

Model season outlook

Based on the 35 matches not yet played.

Expected points, remaining fixtures
~61
1.75 per match
Goals scored per match
1.61
~56 over 35 matches
Goals conceded per match
1.04
~36 over 35 matches
Home / away
17 H · 18 A

Goals conceded per match is how many the model expects this team to let in each game. All figures are model averages over the matches not yet played (points weighted 3 for a win, 1 a draw). They move as strength ratings update, and are not a prediction of the final points total or league position.

This season
3 P · 2 W 1 D 0 L · 7 GF 3 GA · 7 Pts
2 in the table
Last 5WDW
Squad

28 players · snapshot as of 2026-08-31; may change during the window.

Goalkeepers 2
1Juan Musso32Argentina
13Jan Oblak33Slovenia
Defenders 8
2José María Giménez31Uruguay
17Dávid Hancko28Slovakia
18Marc Pubill23Spain
21Cristian Romero28Argentina
22Alejandro Grimaldo30Spain
24Robin Le Normand29Spain
27Jorge Domínguez16Spain
30Daniel Martinez22Spain
Midfielders 11
3Obed Vargas21Mexico
4Rodrigo Mendoza21Spain
5Johnny Cardoso24USA
6Koke34Spain
7Lee Kang-In25South Korea
8Pablo Barrios23Spain
10Álex Baena25Spain
14Marcos Llorente31Spain
15Thomas Lemar30France
23Morten Hjulmand27Denmark
46Jorge Castillo20Spain
Forwards 7
9Alexander Sørloth30Norway
11Ademola Lookman28Nigeria
12Carlos Martín24Spain
16Arnau Ortiz24Spain
19Julián Álvarez26Argentina
20Giuliano Simeone23Argentina
29Miguel Cubo18Spain

Source: match-data provider roster snapshot; player names shown in English. The squad is not a model input.

Upcoming3
05 SEP · 10:15
Athletic ClubAthletic ClubVSAtlético MadridAtlético Madrid
28%29%43%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
13 SEP · 15:00
Real SociedadReal SociedadVSAtlético MadridAtlético Madrid
Forecast opens closer to kickoff
Analysis →
16 SEP · 13:00
Atlético MadridAtlético MadridVSOsasunaOsasuna
Forecast opens closer to kickoff
Analysis →
2026–27 fixtures38
19/08HMálagaMálaga2–0
23/08HVillarrealVillarreal2–2
29/08ASevillaSevilla3–1
05/09AAthletic ClubAthletic ClubWin 43%
13/09AReal SociedadReal SociedadOpens near kickoff
16/09HOsasunaOsasunaOpens near kickoff
20/09HReal MadridReal MadridOpens near kickoff
11/10AAlavésAlavésOpens near kickoff
18/10AEspanyolEspanyolOpens near kickoff
25/10HDeportivoDeportivoOpens near kickoff
01/11ALevanteLevanteOpens near kickoff
08/11HBarcelonaBarcelonaOpens near kickoff
22/11AGetafeGetafeOpens near kickoff
29/11AElcheElcheOpens near kickoff
06/12HReal BetisReal BetisOpens near kickoff
13/12HValenciaValenciaOpens near kickoff
20/12ACelta VigoCelta VigoOpens near kickoff
03/01ARayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoOpens near kickoff
10/01HRacing SantanderRacing SantanderOpens near kickoff
17/01HReal SociedadReal SociedadOpens near kickoff
24/01ADeportivoDeportivoOpens near kickoff
31/01HEspanyolEspanyolOpens near kickoff
07/02ABarcelonaBarcelonaOpens near kickoff
14/02AOsasunaOsasunaOpens near kickoff
21/02HElcheElcheOpens near kickoff
28/02AMálagaMálagaOpens near kickoff
07/03HCelta VigoCelta VigoOpens near kickoff
14/03ARacing SantanderRacing SantanderOpens near kickoff
21/03HGetafeGetafeOpens near kickoff
04/04AReal MadridReal MadridOpens near kickoff
11/04HLevanteLevanteOpens near kickoff
18/04HSevillaSevillaOpens near kickoff
21/04AVillarrealVillarrealOpens near kickoff
02/05HAlavésAlavésOpens near kickoff
09/05AValenciaValenciaOpens near kickoff
16/05HRayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoOpens near kickoff
23/05HAthletic ClubAthletic ClubOpens near kickoff
30/05AReal BetisReal BetisOpens near kickoff

The model reads match results only — summer transfers and squad changes are not inputs. Forecasts for the first six matchweeks are flagged as early-season.

The La Liga is newly added; the model's track record starts accumulating from this season's opening matchweek.

Rating derived from a proprietary statistical model; methodology is a trade secret, track record is public.

Statistical estimates for reference only. Not betting advice. Past accuracy does not indicate future results.

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