HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 6FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga
Early season
FC TokyoFC Tokyo
Matchweek 6VSSun 6 September at 6:30 amTokyo Stadium
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
36%
Draw
27%
Away
37%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locks 24h before kickoff; never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
37%Kyoto Sanga win
FC Tokyo win 36%Draw 27%Kyoto Sanga win 37%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 37%
65% bar

Top probability 37% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

No model lean: line-ball at 37% for Kyoto Sanga, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
FC Tokyo
1.45
League home avg 1.38
Kyoto Sanga
1.46
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.01 Kyoto Sanga
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
FC TokyoFC TokyoDDLDW68-21.20
Kyoto SangaKyoto SangaWWLDL7701.40
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

FC TokyoKyoto Sanga3-match sample
Shots (avg)1612.7
On target (avg)4.34.3
Possession50%54%
Pass accuracy80%79%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1565 / 1609
Expected goals (this match)1.45 / 1.46
Goals per game (last season)1.08 / 1.63
FC TokyoKyoto Sanga
Head to head Last 5FREE
2
FC Tokyo wins
0
Draws
3
Kyoto Sanga wins
2025-08-24FC Tokyo04Kyoto SangaJ1
2025-05-31Kyoto Sanga30FC TokyoJ1
2024-08-24Kyoto Sanga30FC TokyoJ1
2024-05-03FC Tokyo21Kyoto SangaJ1
2023-08-12FC Tokyo20Kyoto SangaJ1
Availability FREE
FC TokyoFC Tokyo
No flagged absences
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Match analysis ①–⑦

No model lean: line-ball at 37% for Kyoto Sanga, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Strength ratings 1565 v 1609 (ranked 10 and 5) — very close. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it FC Tokyo 36%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 37%. Last five in the league: FC Tokyo D-D-L-D-W (1.20 pts/game), Kyoto Sanga W-W-L-D-L (1.40).

Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Key players FREE
SA
SATO Kein FW
0G · 2A · 254'
FC Tokyo
NA
NAGAKURA Motoki FW
2G · 0A · 222'
FC Tokyo
KO
KO Takahiro MF
1G · 0A · 241'
FC Tokyo
RA
RAFAEL ELIAS FW
2G · 0A · 270'
Kyoto Sanga
NA
NAKANO Ryuma MF
1G · 0A · 90'
Kyoto Sanga
OK
OKUGAWA Masaya MF
0G · 1A · 45'
Kyoto Sanga
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 37% for Kyoto Sanga, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Kyoto Sanga37%
Even
Confidence
No lean
37%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
2.60
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.