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J1 LeagueFC Tokyo
J1 League · 2026–27
FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

2026–27 season fixtures, algorithmic win probabilities and team-strength ratings. Analytics only — not a betting service.

Model rating 61Strength rank 10 of 20
Club profile

FC Tokyo was founded in 1935 and plays at Tokyo Stadium in Tokyo. Its current model rating is 61, ranking 10 of 20.

Founded
1935
Home ground
Tokyo Stadium
City
Tokyo

Sources: home ground and city from this season's fixture venues; founding year from Wikidata (CC0); nickname from the match-data provider.

J1 League record

Last 3 J1 League seasons.

SeasonPosPWDLGFGAPtsWin%
2025113813111441485034%
20247381591453515439%
202311341271542464335%

FC Tokyo spent 0 of the last 3 seasons outside the J1 League, so those seasons have no top-flight record.

Source: public results from football-data.co.uk, tabulated per season (3 points a win, 1 a draw) — the same history the model uses to compute strength ratings.

Model season outlook

Based on the 36 matches not yet played.

Expected points, remaining fixtures
~50
1.39 per match
Goals scored per match
1.47
~53 over 36 matches
Goals conceded per match
1.44
~52 over 36 matches
Home / away
18 H · 18 A

Goals conceded per match is how many the model expects this team to let in each game. All figures are model averages over the matches not yet played (points weighted 3 for a win, 1 a draw). They move as strength ratings update, and are not a prediction of the final points total or league position.

This season
2 P · 2 W 0 D 0 L · 5 GF 0 GA · 6 Pts
1 in the table
Last 5WW
Squad

31 players · snapshot as of 2026-08-31; may change during the window.

Goalkeepers 4
1Hayate Tanaka27Japan
37Matthew Watanabe18Japan
58Wataru Goto20Japan
81Kim Seung-Gyu35South Korea
Defenders 11
2Sei Muroya32Japan
3Masato Morishige39Japan
4Hayato Inamura24Japan
6Kashifu Bangunagande24Japan
15Rio Omori24Japan
20Shuto Nagano20Japan
22Hirokazu Ishikara27Japan
24Alexander Scholz33Denmark
42Kento Hashimoto26Japan
44Kaede Suzuki19Japan
—Yuto Nagatomo39Japan
Midfielders 9
7Soma Anzai23Japan
8Takahiro Koh28Japan
17Nicolai Vallys29Denmark
19Shion Homma26Japan
21Yuta Sugawara18Japan
27Kyota Tokiwa24Japan
33Kota Tawaratsumida22Japan
38Kio Tanaka19Japan
71Fuki Yamada25Japan
Forwards 7
9Marcelo Ryan24Brazil
10Kein Sato25Japan
11Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa28Japan
25Tsuna Kominato21Japan
26Motoki Nagakura26Japan
39Teruhito Nakagawa34Japan
55Divine Otani19Japan

Source: match-data provider roster snapshot; player names shown in English. The squad is not a model input.

Upcoming3
08 AUG · 06:00
FC TokyoFC TokyoVSMachida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
36%27%37%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
15 AUG · 06:00
Vissel KobeVissel KobeVSFC TokyoFC Tokyo
45%27%28%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
02 SEP · TBC
Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-PulseVSFC TokyoFC Tokyo
30%27%43%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
2026–27 fixtures38
08/08HMachida ZelviaMachida ZelviaWin 36%
15/08AVissel KobeVissel KobeWin 28%
29/08AV-Varen NagasakiV-Varen Nagasaki3–0Too close to call
02/09AShimizu S-PulseShimizu S-PulseWin 43%
06/09HKyoto SangaKyoto SangaWin 36%
12/09AGamba OsakaGamba OsakaOpens near kickoff
19/09HNagoya GrampusNagoya GrampusOpens near kickoff
10/10HUrawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red DiamondsOpens near kickoff
17/10ATokyo Verdy 1969Tokyo Verdy 1969Opens near kickoff
21/10HKashiwa ReysolKashiwa ReysolOpens near kickoff
25/10HMito HollyhockMito HollyhockOpens near kickoff
31/10AFagiano OkayamaFagiano OkayamaOpens near kickoff
07/11HKashima AntlersKashima AntlersOpens near kickoff
21/11ACerezo OsakaCerezo OsakaOpens near kickoff
25/11HSanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce HiroshimaOpens near kickoff
29/11AYokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. MarinosOpens near kickoff
04/12HKawasaki FrontaleKawasaki FrontaleOpens near kickoff
13/12AAvispa FukuokaAvispa FukuokaOpens near kickoff
19/12AMito HollyhockMito HollyhockOpens near kickoff
13/02ANagoya GrampusNagoya GrampusOpens near kickoff
20/02HV-Varen NagasakiV-Varen NagasakiOpens near kickoff
27/02AJEF United Ichihara-ChibaJEF United Ichihara-ChibaOpens near kickoff
06/03AKyoto SangaKyoto SangaOpens near kickoff
10/03AUrawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red DiamondsOpens near kickoff
13/03HCerezo OsakaCerezo OsakaOpens near kickoff
20/03AKawasaki FrontaleKawasaki FrontaleOpens near kickoff
03/04HAvispa FukuokaAvispa FukuokaOpens near kickoff
10/04HFagiano OkayamaFagiano OkayamaOpens near kickoff
16/04ASanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce HiroshimaOpens near kickoff
24/04HYokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. MarinosOpens near kickoff
29/04AKashiwa ReysolKashiwa ReysolOpens near kickoff
03/05HShimizu S-PulseShimizu S-PulseOpens near kickoff
09/05HTokyo Verdy 1969Tokyo Verdy 1969Opens near kickoff
15/05AMachida ZelviaMachida ZelviaOpens near kickoff
22/05HGamba OsakaGamba OsakaOpens near kickoff
29/05HVissel KobeVissel KobeOpens near kickoff
06/06AKashima AntlersKashima AntlersOpens near kickoff

The model reads match results only — summer transfers and squad changes are not inputs. Forecasts for the first six matchweeks are flagged as early-season.

The J1 League is newly added; the model's track record starts accumulating from this season's opening matchweek.

Rating derived from a proprietary statistical model; methodology is a trade secret, track record is public.

Statistical estimates for reference only. Not betting advice. Past accuracy does not indicate future results.

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