HomeJ1 LeagueMatchweek 5Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale
Early season
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
Matchweek 5VSWed 2 September at · time TBCMachida Gion Stadium
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
Sukina model — 1X2
Home
42%
Draw
27%
Away
32%
Evenly matched
Confidence: No lean
Locks 24h before kickoff; never edited afterwards.
Model forecast OverviewFREE
Win probability
42%Machida Zelvia win
Machida Zelvia win 42%Draw 27%Kawasaki Frontale win 32%
Model confidence
No leanTop probability 42%
65% bar

Top probability 42% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.

No model lean: line-ball at 42% for Machida Zelvia, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Expected Goals (xG) model expected goalsFREE
Machida Zelvia
1.57
League home avg 1.38
Kawasaki Frontale
1.34
League away avg 1.18
xG diff
+0.23 Machida Zelvia
Shots (avg)
On target (avg)

Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.

Recent form Last 5 J1 LeagueFREE
TeamFormGFGAGDPPG
Machida ZelviaMachida ZelviaWLWWW154+112.40
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki FrontaleLLDDD510-50.60
Chronological left→right; J1 League matches only.
Team comparison 40–99 scale · 99 strongestFREE
Radar not shown yet

J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.

Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale3-match sample
Shots (avg)1618.3
On target (avg)6.75.7
Possession47%56%
Pass accuracy82%83%
Model data FREE
Strength rating1608 / 1586
Expected goals (this match)1.57 / 1.34
Goals per game (last season)1.37 / 1.76
Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale
Head to head Last 4FREE
1
Machida Zelvia wins
1
Draws
2
Kawasaki Frontale wins
2025-08-31Kawasaki Frontale53Machida ZelviaJ1
2025-04-06Machida Zelvia22Kawasaki FrontaleJ1
2024-10-05Machida Zelvia14Kawasaki FrontaleJ1
2024-04-07Kawasaki Frontale01Machida ZelviaJ1
Availability FREE
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
No flagged absences
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
No flagged absences

Absence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.

Match analysis ①–⑦

No model lean: line-ball at 42% for Machida Zelvia, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Strength ratings 1608 v 1586 (ranked 6 and 7) — very close. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Machida Zelvia 42%, draw 27%, Kawasaki Frontale 32%. Last five in the league: Machida Zelvia W-L-W-W-W (2.40 pts/game), Kawasaki Frontale L-L-D-D-D (0.60).

Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Most likely score PRO

Top-3 scorelines are Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Expected goals (model) PRO

The per-team split is Pass content.

Unlock with PRO
Key players FREE
SO
SOMA Yuki FW
1G · 2A · 261'
Machida Zelvia
MI
MITCHELL DUKE FW
1G · 2A · 173'
Machida Zelvia
TE
TETE YENGI FW
2G · 0A · 250'
Machida Zelvia
LA
LAZAR ROMANIC FW
2G · 0A · 192'
Kawasaki Frontale
YA
YAMAMOTO Yuki MF
1G · 0A · 252'
Kawasaki Frontale
IT
ITO Tatsuya FW
0G · 1A · 225'
Kawasaki Frontale
By goals + assists
Model summary

No model lean: line-ball at 42% for Machida Zelvia, with a live draw — a match decided by details.

Lean
Machida Zelvia42%
Even
Confidence
No lean
42%
Top score
?–?
Expected goals
3.20
20-match blend (reference)

All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.