J1 LeagueMachida Zelvia
J1 League · 2026–27
Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

2026–27 season fixtures, algorithmic win probabilities and team-strength ratings. Analytics only — not a betting service.

Model rating 67Strength rank 6 of 20
Club profile

Machida Zelvia was founded in 1989 and plays at Machida Gion Stadium in Tokyo. Its current model rating is 67, ranking 6 of 20.

Founded
1989
Home ground
Machida Gion Stadium
City
Tokyo

Sources: home ground and city from this season's fixture venues; founding year from Wikidata (CC0); nickname from the match-data provider.

J1 League record

Last 2 J1 League seasons.

SeasonPosPWDLGFGAPtsWin%
20256381791252386045%
20243381991054346650%

Machida Zelvia spent 1 of the last 3 seasons outside the J1 League, so those seasons have no top-flight record.

Source: public results from football-data.co.uk, tabulated per season (3 points a win, 1 a draw) — the same history the model uses to compute strength ratings.

Model season outlook

Based on the 36 matches not yet played.

Expected points, remaining fixtures
~54
1.51 per match
Goals scored per match
1.56
~56 over 36 matches
Goals conceded per match
1.35
~48 over 36 matches
Home / away
18 H · 18 A

Goals conceded per match is how many the model expects this team to let in each game. All figures are model averages over the matches not yet played (points weighted 3 for a win, 1 a draw). They move as strength ratings update, and are not a prediction of the final points total or league position.

This season
2 P · 1 W 1 D 0 L · 4 GF 2 GA · 4 Pts
6 in the table
Last 5DW
Squad

29 players · snapshot as of 2026-08-31; may change during the window.

Goalkeepers 4
1Kosei Tani25Japan
13Tatsuya Morita36Japan
66Aki Koch22Germany
89Nicholas Guimarães20Philippines
Defenders 9
3Gen Shoji33Japan
4Ryuho Kikuchi29Japan
5Ibrahim Dresevic29Kosovo
6Henry Mochizuki24Japan
19Yuta Nakayama29Japan
24Kim Min-Tae32South Korea
33Takahiro Akimoto28Japan
50Daihachi Okamura29Japan
88Hotaka Nakamura29Japan
Midfielders 9
8Keiya Sento31Japan
11Asahi Masuyama29Japan
14Yusuke Matsuo29Japan
16Hiroyuki Mae31Japan
18Hokuto Shimoda34Japan
23Ryohei Shirasaki33Japan
28Cha Je-Hoon20South Korea
31Neta Lavi30Israel
38Tenshiro Takasaki20Japan
Forwards 7
7Yuki Soma29Japan
15Mitchell Duke35Australia
20Takuma Nishimura29Japan
27Erik32Brazil
34Futa Tokumura18Japan
99Tete Yengi25Australia
Koki Ogawa29Japan

Source: match-data provider roster snapshot; player names shown in English. The squad is not a model input.

Upcoming3
08 AUG · 06:00
FC TokyoFC TokyoVSMachida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
36%27%37%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
15 AUG · 06:00
JEF United Ichihara-ChibaJEF United Ichihara-ChibaVSMachida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
28%26%46%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
02 SEP · TBC
Machida ZelviaMachida ZelviaVSKawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
42%27%32%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
2026–27 fixtures38
08/08AFC TokyoFC TokyoWin 37%
29/08AMito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1–1Too close to call
02/09HKawasaki FrontaleKawasaki FrontaleWin 42%
06/09ANagoya GrampusNagoya GrampusWin 41%
12/09HYokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. MarinosOpens near kickoff
20/09HKashiwa ReysolKashiwa ReysolOpens near kickoff
10/10AKyoto SangaKyoto SangaOpens near kickoff
18/10HAvispa FukuokaAvispa FukuokaOpens near kickoff
21/10AShimizu S-PulseShimizu S-PulseOpens near kickoff
24/10AVissel KobeVissel KobeOpens near kickoff
01/11HGamba OsakaGamba OsakaOpens near kickoff
08/11HSanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce HiroshimaOpens near kickoff
21/11HV-Varen NagasakiV-Varen NagasakiOpens near kickoff
29/11HTokyo Verdy 1969Tokyo Verdy 1969Opens near kickoff
06/12HFagiano OkayamaFagiano OkayamaOpens near kickoff
12/12ACerezo OsakaCerezo OsakaOpens near kickoff
16/12AKashima AntlersKashima AntlersOpens near kickoff
19/12AGamba OsakaGamba OsakaOpens near kickoff
13/02HJEF United Ichihara-ChibaJEF United Ichihara-ChibaOpens near kickoff
20/02AYokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. MarinosOpens near kickoff
27/02AKawasaki FrontaleKawasaki FrontaleOpens near kickoff
06/03HShimizu S-PulseShimizu S-PulseOpens near kickoff
10/03HKashima AntlersKashima AntlersOpens near kickoff
13/03HNagoya GrampusNagoya GrampusOpens near kickoff
20/03HMito HollyhockMito HollyhockOpens near kickoff
03/04ATokyo Verdy 1969Tokyo Verdy 1969Opens near kickoff
10/04HVissel KobeVissel KobeOpens near kickoff
17/04AAvispa FukuokaAvispa FukuokaOpens near kickoff
24/04ASanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce HiroshimaOpens near kickoff
29/04AUrawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red DiamondsOpens near kickoff
03/05HKyoto SangaKyoto SangaOpens near kickoff
09/05AKashiwa ReysolKashiwa ReysolOpens near kickoff
15/05HFC TokyoFC TokyoOpens near kickoff
22/05AFagiano OkayamaFagiano OkayamaOpens near kickoff
29/05AV-Varen NagasakiV-Varen NagasakiOpens near kickoff
06/06HCerezo OsakaCerezo OsakaOpens near kickoff

The model reads match results only — summer transfers and squad changes are not inputs. Forecasts for the first six matchweeks are flagged as early-season.

The J1 League is newly added; the model's track record starts accumulating from this season's opening matchweek.

Rating derived from a proprietary statistical model; methodology is a trade secret, track record is public.

Statistical estimates for reference only. Not betting advice. Past accuracy does not indicate future results.

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