Top probability 41% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
No model lean: line-ball at 41% for Machida Zelvia, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nagoya Grampus | LWLLW | 6 | 7 | -1 | 1.20 |
 Machida Zelvia | WLWWW | 15 | 4 | +11 | 2.40 |
J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.
3-match sample| Shots (avg) | 17.3 | 16 |
| On target (avg) | 6.3 | 6.7 |
| Possession | 59% | 47% |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 82% |
| 2025-11-30 | Machida Zelvia | 3–1 | Nagoya Grampus | J1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Nagoya Grampus | 1–2 | Machida Zelvia | J1 |
| 2024-07-06 | Machida Zelvia | 1–0 | Nagoya Grampus | J1 |
| 2024-03-02 | Nagoya Grampus | 0–1 | Machida Zelvia | J1 |
Nagoya GrampusMachida ZelviaAbsence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.
No model lean: line-ball at 41% for Machida Zelvia, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Strength ratings 1518 v 1608 (ranked 13 and 6) — a modest gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Nagoya Grampus 32%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 41%. Last five in the league: Nagoya Grampus L-W-L-L-W (1.20 pts/game), Machida Zelvia W-L-W-W-W (2.40).
Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.
Unlock with PROTop-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PRONo model lean: line-ball at 41% for Machida Zelvia, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
41%All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.