Top probability 43% is below the 65% bar — no lean. This is the same probability read against the threshold, not a separate score.
No model lean: line-ball at 43% for FC Tokyo, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Expected goals are model output (not shot xG). League averages come from all 1096 of those matches.
| Team | Form | GF | GA | GD | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shimizu S-Pulse | LLWLL | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0.60 |
 FC Tokyo | DDLDW | 6 | 8 | -2 | 1.20 |
J1 League lacks the multi-season public data (shots, possession) the radar needs, so it is not shown; nothing else on this page is affected.
3-match sample| Shots (avg) | 12 | 16 |
| On target (avg) | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Possession | 35% | 50% |
| Pass accuracy | 66% | 80% |
| 2025-10-04 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1–1 | FC Tokyo | J1 |
| 2025-04-29 | FC Tokyo | 0–2 | Shimizu S-Pulse | J1 |
Shimizu S-PulseFC TokyoAbsence flags come from a pre-match public availability snapshot and update as clubs announce; reference only — the locked forecast never changes.
No model lean: line-ball at 43% for FC Tokyo, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
Strength ratings 1446 v 1565 (ranked 19 and 10) — a modest gap. With a fixed home-advantage term the model makes it Shimizu S-Pulse 30%, draw 27%, FC Tokyo 43%. Last five in the league: Shimizu S-Pulse L-L-W-L-L (0.60 pts/game), FC Tokyo D-D-L-D-W (1.20).
Sections ③–⑦ are Pass content.
Unlock with PROTop-3 scorelines are Pass content.
Unlock with PROThe per-team split is Pass content.
Unlock with PRONo model lean: line-ball at 43% for FC Tokyo, with a live draw — a match decided by details.
43%All data on this page comes from the SUKINA model and public third-party sources — for reference only; not betting advice or a guarantee of results.