Aston Villa
2026–27 season fixtures, algorithmic win probabilities and team-strength ratings. Analytics only — not a betting service.
Aston Villa was founded in 1874 and plays at Villa Park in Birmingham. The club is nicknamed the Aston Villa. Its current model rating is 65, ranking 6 of 20.
Sources: home ground and city from this season's fixture venues; founding year from Wikidata (CC0); nickname from the match-data provider.
Last 5 Premier League seasons.
| Season | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 65 | 50% |
| 2024–25 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 66 | 50% |
| 2023–24 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 68 | 53% |
| 2022–23 | 7 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 61 | 47% |
| 2021–22 | 14 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 52 | 54 | 45 | 34% |
Source: public results from football-data.co.uk, tabulated per season (3 points a win, 1 a draw) — the same history the model uses to compute strength ratings.
Based on the 37 matches not yet played.
Goals conceded per match is how many the model expects this team to let in each game. All figures are model averages over the matches not yet played (points weighted 3 for a win, 1 a draw). They move as strength ratings update, and are not a prediction of the final points total or league position.
31 players · snapshot as of 2026-08-31; may change during the window.
Source: match-data provider roster snapshot; player names shown in English. The squad is not a model input.
0–4Too close to call
Win 20%
Win 39%
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The Premier League is newly added; the model's track record starts accumulating from this season's opening matchweek.
Rating derived from a proprietary statistical model; methodology is a trade secret, track record is public.
Statistical estimates for reference only. Not betting advice. Past accuracy does not indicate future results.
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