Premier LeagueArsenal
Premier League · 2026–27
Arsenal

Arsenal

2026–27 season fixtures, algorithmic win probabilities and team-strength ratings. Analytics only — not a betting service.

Model rating 91Strength rank 1 of 20
Club profile

Arsenal was founded in 1886 and plays at Emirates Stadium in London. The club is nicknamed the Gunners. Its current model rating is 91, ranking 1 of 20.

Founded
1886
Home ground
Emirates Stadium
City
London
Nickname
Gunners

Sources: home ground and city from this season's fixture venues; founding year from Wikidata (CC0); nickname from the match-data provider.

Premier League record

Last 5 Premier League seasons.

SeasonPosPWDLGFGAPtsWin%
2025–26138267571278568%
2024–252382014469347453%
2023–24238285591298974%
2022–23238266688438468%
2021–225382231361486958%

Source: public results from football-data.co.uk, tabulated per season (3 points a win, 1 a draw) — the same history the model uses to compute strength ratings.

Model season outlook

Based on the 37 matches not yet played.

Expected points, remaining fixtures
~77
2.07 per match
Goals scored per match
2.17
~80 over 37 matches
Goals conceded per match
0.89
~33 over 37 matches
Home / away
18 H · 19 A

Goals conceded per match is how many the model expects this team to let in each game. All figures are model averages over the matches not yet played (points weighted 3 for a win, 1 a draw). They move as strength ratings update, and are not a prediction of the final points total or league position.

This season
1 P · 1 W 0 D 0 L · 3 GF 0 GA · 3 Pts
9 in the table
Last 5W
Squad

29 players · snapshot as of 2026-08-31; may change during the window.

Goalkeepers 4
1David Raya30Spain
13Kepa Arrizabalaga31Spain
30Illan Meslier26France
35Tommy Setford20England
Defenders 9
2William Saliba25France
3Cristhian Mosquera22Spain
4Ben White28England
5Piero Hincapié24Ecuador
6Gabriel Magalhães28Brazil
12Jurriën Timber25Netherlands
15Ezri Konsa28England
33Riccardo Calafiori24Italy
49Myles Lewis-Skelly19England
Midfielders 9
8Martin Ødegaard27Norway
10Eberechi Eze28England
21Fabio Vieira26Portugal
22Ethan Nwaneri19England
23Mikel Merino30Spain
36Martín Zubimendi27Spain
39Bruno Guimarães28Brazil
41Declan Rice27England
56Max Dowman16England
Forwards 7
7Bukayo Saka24England
9Gabriel Jesus29Brazil
11Gabriel Martinelli25Brazil
14Viktor Gyökeres28Sweden
17Christos Tzolis24Greece
20Noni Madueke24England
29Kai Havertz27Germany

Source: match-data provider roster snapshot; player names shown in English. The squad is not a model input.

Upcoming3
31 AUG · 15:00
Aston VillaAston VillaVSArsenalArsenal
20%24%56%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
06 SEP · 11:30
ArsenalArsenalVSChelseaChelsea
64%22%14%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
12 SEP · 15:00
SunderlandSunderlandVSArsenalArsenal
Forecast opens closer to kickoff
Analysis →
2026–27 fixtures38
21/08HCoventry CityCoventry City3–0Model on track
31/08AAston VillaAston VillaWin 56%
06/09HChelseaChelseaWin 64%
12/09ASunderlandSunderlandOpens near kickoff
19/09ABrighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove AlbionOpens near kickoff
10/10HLeeds UnitedLeeds UnitedOpens near kickoff
17/10ANottingham ForestNottingham ForestOpens near kickoff
24/10HEvertonEvertonOpens near kickoff
31/10ALiverpoolLiverpoolOpens near kickoff
07/11HHull CityHull CityOpens near kickoff
21/11ANewcastle UnitedNewcastle UnitedOpens near kickoff
28/11HManchester CityManchester CityOpens near kickoff
02/12ABrentfordBrentfordOpens near kickoff
05/12ATottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurOpens near kickoff
12/12HAFC BournemouthAFC BournemouthOpens near kickoff
19/12HManchester UnitedManchester UnitedOpens near kickoff
26/12ACrystal PalaceCrystal PalaceOpens near kickoff
30/12AFulhamFulhamOpens near kickoff
02/01HIpswich TownIpswich TownOpens near kickoff
06/01HBrentfordBrentfordOpens near kickoff
16/01AHull CityHull CityOpens near kickoff
23/01HNewcastle UnitedNewcastle UnitedOpens near kickoff
30/01AManchester CityManchester CityOpens near kickoff
06/02HLiverpoolLiverpoolOpens near kickoff
10/02AIpswich TownIpswich TownOpens near kickoff
20/02HFulhamFulhamOpens near kickoff
27/02AManchester UnitedManchester UnitedOpens near kickoff
03/03HCrystal PalaceCrystal PalaceOpens near kickoff
13/03AChelseaChelseaOpens near kickoff
20/03HSunderlandSunderlandOpens near kickoff
10/04ACoventry CityCoventry CityOpens near kickoff
17/04HAston VillaAston VillaOpens near kickoff
24/04AAFC BournemouthAFC BournemouthOpens near kickoff
01/05HTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurOpens near kickoff
08/05ALeeds UnitedLeeds UnitedOpens near kickoff
15/05HNottingham ForestNottingham ForestOpens near kickoff
23/05AEvertonEvertonOpens near kickoff
30/05HBrighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove AlbionOpens near kickoff

The model reads match results only — summer transfers and squad changes are not inputs. Forecasts for the first six matchweeks are flagged as early-season.

The Premier League is newly added; the model's track record starts accumulating from this season's opening matchweek.

Rating derived from a proprietary statistical model; methodology is a trade secret, track record is public.

Statistical estimates for reference only. Not betting advice. Past accuracy does not indicate future results.

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