Premier LeagueChelsea
Premier League · 2026–27
Chelsea

Chelsea

2026–27 season fixtures, algorithmic win probabilities and team-strength ratings. Analytics only — not a betting service.

Model rating 63Strength rank 8 of 20
Club profile

Chelsea was founded in 1905 and plays at Stamford Bridge in London. The club is nicknamed the Blues. Its current model rating is 63, ranking 8 of 20.

Founded
1905
Home ground
Stamford Bridge
City
London
Nickname
Blues

Sources: home ground and city from this season's fixture venues; founding year from Wikidata (CC0); nickname from the match-data provider.

Premier League record

Last 5 Premier League seasons.

SeasonPosPWDLGFGAPtsWin%
2025–26103814101458525237%
2024–25438209964436953%
2023–246381891177636347%
2022–23123811111638474429%
2021–223382111676337455%

Source: public results from football-data.co.uk, tabulated per season (3 points a win, 1 a draw) — the same history the model uses to compute strength ratings.

Model season outlook

Based on the 36 matches not yet played.

Expected points, remaining fixtures
~51
1.41 per match
Goals scored per match
1.55
~56 over 36 matches
Goals conceded per match
1.51
~54 over 36 matches
Home / away
18 H · 18 A

Goals conceded per match is how many the model expects this team to let in each game. All figures are model averages over the matches not yet played (points weighted 3 for a win, 1 a draw). They move as strength ratings update, and are not a prediction of the final points total or league position.

This season
2 P · 2 W 0 D 0 L · 7 GF 5 GA · 6 Pts
3 in the table
Last 5WW
Squad

36 players · snapshot as of 2026-08-31; may change during the window.

Goalkeepers 5
1Robert Sánchez28Spain
26Emiliano Martínez33Argentina
28Teddy Sharman-Lowe23England
39Mike Penders21Belgium
44Gaga Slonina22USA
Defenders 12
2Marco Palestra21Italy
3Wesley Fofana25France
5Maxence Lacroix26France
6Levi Colwill23England
21Jorrel Hato20Netherlands
24Reece James26England
27Malo Gusto23France
29Pep Chavarría28Spain
30Aaron Anselmino21Argentina
34Josh Acheampong20England
37Olutayo Subuloye18England
38Tosin Adarabioyo28England
Midfielders 12
4Valentín Barco22Argentina
8Enzo Fernández25Argentina
10Cole Palmer24England
14Jordan Henderson36England
16Dário Essugo21Portugal
17Morgan Rogers24England
23Geovany Quenda19Portugal
25Moisés Caicedo24Ecuador
31Reggie Watson16England
32Mahdi Nicoll-Jazuli16England
33Mykhailo Mudryk25Ukraine
45Romeo Lavia22Belgium
Forwards 7
7Pedro Neto26Portugal
9João Pedro24Brazil
11Jamie Gittens22England
18Danny Welbeck35England
22Emmanuel Emegha23Netherlands
38Marc Guiu20Spain
41Estêvão19Brazil

Source: match-data provider roster snapshot; player names shown in English. The squad is not a model input.

Upcoming3
06 SEP · 11:30
ArsenalArsenalVSChelseaChelsea
64%22%14%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
12 SEP · 10:00
ChelseaChelseaVSHull CityHull City
Forecast opens closer to kickoff
Analysis →
18 SEP · 15:00
BrentfordBrentfordVSChelseaChelsea
Forecast opens closer to kickoff
Analysis →
2026–27 fixtures38
24/08AFulhamFulham3–2Too close to call
30/08HBrighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion4–3Too close to call
06/09AArsenalArsenalWin 14%
12/09HHull CityHull CityOpens near kickoff
18/09ABrentfordBrentfordOpens near kickoff
10/10HAFC BournemouthAFC BournemouthOpens near kickoff
17/10AEvertonEvertonOpens near kickoff
24/10HTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurOpens near kickoff
31/10HManchester UnitedManchester UnitedOpens near kickoff
07/11ASunderlandSunderlandOpens near kickoff
21/11HLeeds UnitedLeeds UnitedOpens near kickoff
28/11ANottingham ForestNottingham ForestOpens near kickoff
02/12HCrystal PalaceCrystal PalaceOpens near kickoff
05/12HLiverpoolLiverpoolOpens near kickoff
12/12AManchester CityManchester CityOpens near kickoff
19/12HAston VillaAston VillaOpens near kickoff
26/12ACoventry CityCoventry CityOpens near kickoff
30/12AIpswich TownIpswich TownOpens near kickoff
02/01HNewcastle UnitedNewcastle UnitedOpens near kickoff
06/01ACrystal PalaceCrystal PalaceOpens near kickoff
16/01HSunderlandSunderlandOpens near kickoff
23/01ALeeds UnitedLeeds UnitedOpens near kickoff
30/01HNottingham ForestNottingham ForestOpens near kickoff
06/02AManchester UnitedManchester UnitedOpens near kickoff
10/02ANewcastle UnitedNewcastle UnitedOpens near kickoff
20/02HIpswich TownIpswich TownOpens near kickoff
27/02AAston VillaAston VillaOpens near kickoff
03/03HCoventry CityCoventry CityOpens near kickoff
13/03HArsenalArsenalOpens near kickoff
20/03AHull CityHull CityOpens near kickoff
10/04HFulhamFulhamOpens near kickoff
17/04ABrighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove AlbionOpens near kickoff
24/04HManchester CityManchester CityOpens near kickoff
01/05ALiverpoolLiverpoolOpens near kickoff
08/05ATottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurOpens near kickoff
15/05HEvertonEvertonOpens near kickoff
23/05AAFC BournemouthAFC BournemouthOpens near kickoff
30/05HBrentfordBrentfordOpens near kickoff

The model reads match results only — summer transfers and squad changes are not inputs. Forecasts for the first six matchweeks are flagged as early-season.

The Premier League is newly added; the model's track record starts accumulating from this season's opening matchweek.

Rating derived from a proprietary statistical model; methodology is a trade secret, track record is public.

Statistical estimates for reference only. Not betting advice. Past accuracy does not indicate future results.

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