Premier LeagueManchester United
Premier League · 2026–27
Manchester United

Manchester United

2026–27 season fixtures, algorithmic win probabilities and team-strength ratings. Analytics only — not a betting service.

Model rating 71Strength rank 4 of 20
Club profile

Manchester United was founded in 1878 and plays at Old Trafford in Manchester. The club is nicknamed the Red Devils. Its current model rating is 71, ranking 4 of 20.

Founded
1878
Home ground
Old Trafford
City
Manchester
Nickname
Red Devils

Sources: home ground and city from this season's fixture venues; founding year from Wikidata (CC0); nickname from the match-data provider.

Premier League record

Last 5 Premier League seasons.

SeasonPosPWDLGFGAPtsWin%
2025–263382011769507153%
2024–2515381191844544229%
2023–248381861457586047%
2022–23338236958437561%
2021–2263816101257575842%

Source: public results from football-data.co.uk, tabulated per season (3 points a win, 1 a draw) — the same history the model uses to compute strength ratings.

Model season outlook

Based on the 36 matches not yet played.

Expected points, remaining fixtures
~58
1.62 per match
Goals scored per match
1.73
~62 over 36 matches
Goals conceded per match
1.33
~48 over 36 matches
Home / away
18 H · 18 A

Goals conceded per match is how many the model expects this team to let in each game. All figures are model averages over the matches not yet played (points weighted 3 for a win, 1 a draw). They move as strength ratings update, and are not a prediction of the final points total or league position.

This season
2 P · 1 W 0 D 1 L · 5 GF 4 GA · 3 Pts
10 in the table
Last 5WL
Squad

30 players · snapshot as of 2026-08-31; may change during the window.

Goalkeepers 4
1Senne Lammens24Belgium
12Karl Darlow35Wales
22Tom Heaton40England
45Dermot Mee23Northern Ireland
Defenders 10
2Diogo Dalot27Portugal
3Noussair Mazraoui28Morocco
4Matthijs de Ligt27Netherlands
5Harry Maguire33England
6Lisandro Martínez28Argentina
13Patrick Dorgu21Denmark
15Leny Yoro20France
23Luke Shaw31England
26Ayden Heaven19England
41Harry Amass19England
Midfielders 9
7Mason Mount27England
8Bruno Fernandes31Portugal
17Andrey Santos22Brazil
18Youri Tielemans29Belgium
20Carlos Baleba22Cameroon
25Manuel Ugarte25Uruguay
37Kobbie Mainoo21England
38Jack Fletcher19England
39Tyler Fletcher19Scotland
Forwards 7
9Marcus Rashford28England
10Matheus Cunha27Brazil
11Joshua Zirkzee25Netherlands
16Amad Diallo24Ivory Coast
19Bryan Mbeumo27Cameroon
30Benjamin Sesko23Slovenia
61Shea Lacey19England

Source: match-data provider roster snapshot; player names shown in English. The squad is not a model input.

Upcoming3
06 SEP · 09:00
EvertonEvertonVSManchester UnitedManchester United
31%26%43%
Evenly matched
Analysis →
13 SEP · 11:30
Manchester UnitedManchester UnitedVSManchester CityManchester City
Forecast opens closer to kickoff
Analysis →
20 SEP · 11:30
FulhamFulhamVSManchester UnitedManchester United
Forecast opens closer to kickoff
Analysis →
2026–27 fixtures38
22/08AHull CityHull City0–2Model missed · model 5% pre-match
30/08HIpswich TownIpswich Town5–2Model on track
06/09AEvertonEvertonWin 43%
13/09HManchester CityManchester CityOpens near kickoff
20/09AFulhamFulhamOpens near kickoff
10/10HTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurOpens near kickoff
17/10ALeeds UnitedLeeds UnitedOpens near kickoff
24/10HAFC BournemouthAFC BournemouthOpens near kickoff
31/10AChelseaChelseaOpens near kickoff
07/11HAston VillaAston VillaOpens near kickoff
21/11ALiverpoolLiverpoolOpens near kickoff
28/11HBrentfordBrentfordOpens near kickoff
02/12ANewcastle UnitedNewcastle UnitedOpens near kickoff
05/12HCoventry CityCoventry CityOpens near kickoff
12/12ACrystal PalaceCrystal PalaceOpens near kickoff
19/12AArsenalArsenalOpens near kickoff
26/12HNottingham ForestNottingham ForestOpens near kickoff
30/12HSunderlandSunderlandOpens near kickoff
02/01ABrighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove AlbionOpens near kickoff
06/01HNewcastle UnitedNewcastle UnitedOpens near kickoff
16/01AAston VillaAston VillaOpens near kickoff
23/01HLiverpoolLiverpoolOpens near kickoff
30/01ABrentfordBrentfordOpens near kickoff
06/02HChelseaChelseaOpens near kickoff
10/02HBrighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove AlbionOpens near kickoff
20/02ANottingham ForestNottingham ForestOpens near kickoff
27/02HArsenalArsenalOpens near kickoff
03/03ASunderlandSunderlandOpens near kickoff
13/03HEvertonEvertonOpens near kickoff
20/03AManchester CityManchester CityOpens near kickoff
10/04HHull CityHull CityOpens near kickoff
17/04AIpswich TownIpswich TownOpens near kickoff
24/04HCrystal PalaceCrystal PalaceOpens near kickoff
01/05ACoventry CityCoventry CityOpens near kickoff
08/05AAFC BournemouthAFC BournemouthOpens near kickoff
15/05HLeeds UnitedLeeds UnitedOpens near kickoff
23/05ATottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurOpens near kickoff
30/05HFulhamFulhamOpens near kickoff

The model reads match results only — summer transfers and squad changes are not inputs. Forecasts for the first six matchweeks are flagged as early-season.

The Premier League is newly added; the model's track record starts accumulating from this season's opening matchweek.

Rating derived from a proprietary statistical model; methodology is a trade secret, track record is public.

Statistical estimates for reference only. Not betting advice. Past accuracy does not indicate future results.

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